Germany’s welfare state doesn’t need reform—it needs detoxification

Exterior view of the Federal Chancellery in Berlin, showing the modern government building from the front.
View of the Federal Chancellery in Berlin, seat of the German government.
This ent­ry is part 1 of 1 in the series System Drift Inside the German Welfare State

System Drift Inside the German Welfare State 

Exterior view of the Federal Chancellery in Berlin, showing the modern government building from the front.

Germany’s welfare state doesn’t need reform—it needs detoxification 

While in the United States right‑wing poli­tics is open­ly visi­ble through govern­ment action—especially in migra­ti­on policy—this series reve­als a dif­fe­rent pat­tern. In Germany, the wel­fa­re sta­te has long been tigh­tening migra­ti­on poli­cy from within, wit­hout any right‑wing govern­ment in power. Newly published docu­ments show that this inter­nal drift has pro­du­ced secret decis­i­ons for years. Through the­se decis­i­ons, the admi­nis­tra­ti­on effec­tively imple­ments right‑wing demands even befo­re they appear in public debate.

Federal Chancellor Merz is now using this system‑generated drift as a poli­ti­cal resour­ce. The drift is not new; it sim­ply pro­vi­des the jus­ti­fi­ca­ti­on he needs for his reform. He pres­ents the rise of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as pro­of that Germany requi­res “stric­ter rules.” In his nar­ra­ti­ve, the reform beco­mes a respon­se to the AfD and a stra­tegy to win back voters who tur­ned to them. In rea­li­ty, the tigh­tening he pro­mo­tes has long been cen­tral to the AfD’s agen­da. What had been car­ri­ed out quiet­ly within the sys­tem is now brought onto the public stage.

Consider the case of IKK clas­sic, a health insu­rance fund within the German wel­fa­re state—internationally pre­sen­ted as part of a “model” social system—that des­troy­ed my eco­no­mic foun­da­ti­on. The fund forced me to lose my com­pa­ny in the fashion sec­tor in 2022, 2023, and 2024, lea­ving me unable to sup­port mys­elf. Over the same peri­od, IKK clas­sic finan­ced doc­tors who repea­ted­ly and dra­sti­cal­ly redu­ced the medi­ca­ti­on that replaces thy­ro­id function—a life‑sustaining drug. The result was four con­se­cu­ti­ve emer­gen­cy admis­si­ons in two Berlin hospitals.

Economically and medi­cal­ly, such a situa­ti­on ine­vi­ta­b­ly forces a per­son to app­ly for social bene­fits. Or: remi­gra­ti­on. The first streng­thens the growth of AfD sup­port; the second ful­fills a cen­tral AfD objective.

Merz publicly claims that the wel­fa­re sta­te is no lon­ger finan­ci­al­ly via­ble. To sup­port this nar­ra­ti­ve, he demands exten­si­ve cuts and pushes for stric­ter rules. His agen­da includes a fun­da­men­tal res­truc­tu­ring of the sys­tem and tigh­ter regu­la­ti­ons for Bürgergeld. He also seeks to increase pres­su­re on the unem­ploy­ed and fur­ther rest­rict migra­ti­on. This is a poli­ti­cal tigh­tening, not a tech­ni­cal reform. It ine­vi­ta­b­ly leads to remigration—because wit­hout inco­me and wit­hout social bene­fits, peo­p­le have no choice. Above all, the tigh­tening ali­gns pre­cis­e­ly with what the AfD aims to achieve.

Since October 2024, the IKK clas­sic case was first befo­re the Administrative Court of Berlin, and from May 2025 onward, the lawsu­it against IKK clas­sic was pen­ding befo­re the Social Court. Only in October 2025, after I had tem­po­r­a­ri­ly been in Albania, did the Social Court unex­pec­ted­ly announ­ce that the case might not be the one for­ward­ed by the Administrative Court—even though both IKK clas­sic and the Administrative Court had expli­cit­ly sta­ted that the Social Court was respon­si­ble. By that time, the lawsu­it had alre­a­dy been pen­ding the­re for seve­ral months. To this day, almost a year later, IKK clas­sic has not sub­mit­ted a respon­se, and the­re is not even a decis­i­on on whe­ther they must respond at all. These delays show that even the enforce­ment of basic rights is being obstructed.

An “iso­la­ted inci­dent” can­not last four years, pass through two court levels, remain unans­we­red for months, repeat medi­cal mis­judgments over seve­ral years, des­troy an eco­no­mic foun­da­ti­on, and dis­play the same admi­nis­tra­ti­ve pat­terns throug­hout. Such a sequence is not an excep­ti­on. It is a struc­tu­ral pat­tern beco­ming visi­ble within the system.

This nar­ra­ti­ve obscu­res the actu­al truth: the wel­fa­re sta­te is not the problem—the ideo­lo­gy embedded deep within its admi­nis­tra­ti­on is.

The IKK clas­sic case, which I exami­ne in this series, stands as an exam­p­le of an ideo­lo­gy that ope­ra­tes deep insi­de the admi­nis­tra­ti­ve sys­tem. Across the wel­fa­re sta­te, many health insu­r­ers and aut­ho­ri­ties fol­low the same pat­terns. They igno­re evi­dence, shift respon­si­bi­li­ty, delay decis­i­ons, and crea­te hard­ships that push peo­p­le into exis­ten­ti­al cri­ses. The impact falls dis­pro­por­tio­na­te­ly on peo­p­le with a migra­ti­on back­ground, who have fewer insti­tu­tio­nal resour­ces and less access to cor­rec­ti­ve mecha­nisms. In the end, indi­vi­du­als are pushed into social bene­fits or—as in my case—into de fac­to remigration.

This inter­nal tigh­tening not only des­troys lives; it also gene­ra­tes cos­ts. People who beco­me ill due to admi­nis­tra­ti­ve fail­ures, lose their abili­ty to work, or see their busi­nesses col­lap­se ine­vi­ta­b­ly end up depen­dent on social bene­fits. Others who can no lon­ger pay con­tri­bu­ti­ons becau­se insti­tu­ti­ons have des­troy­ed their eco­no­mic foun­da­ti­on bur­den the sys­tem twice. And anyo­ne who would need to take legal action faces yet ano­ther bar­ri­er: legal aid is uncer­tain, slow, and inac­ces­si­ble for many.

The result is a para­do­xi­cal out­co­me: the admi­nis­tra­ti­on pro­du­ces exact­ly the social and finan­cial bur­dens that right‑wing poli­tics later uses as jus­ti­fi­ca­ti­on for fur­ther tigh­tening. The system’s inter­nal shift crea­tes the cri­sis. Politics sells the cri­sis as the reason for the shift.